The ongoing Ukraine war could disrupt global supply chains and create energy insecurity, impacting countries like Italy. The conflict has caused an influx of migrants into Europe and disrupted global supply chains, leading to a rise in commodity prices and an energy crisis. Italy is particularly vulnerable due to its reliance on energy imports from Russia, record inflation, and dependence on wheat imports. By examining potential scenarios, this analysis helps humanitarian actors respond to the needs of affected populations in Italy and the surrounding region.

Drawing on extensive research, the book demonstrates in practical terms how embedding futures-focused thinking into practice can help humanitarian actors to enhance their impact and fit for the future. The book provides readers with a step-by-step guide to an innovative combination of tools and methods tested and refined over the course of several years. However, it also goes beyond this, by grounding the approach within the broader ambition of making humanitarian action more effective. Overall, the analytical and strategic processes outlined in this book will accompany a decision maker through every stage of creating a robust, agile and impactful long-term strategy.

Though there is variability across the world, for the coming 18-24 months we believe that the humanitarian community will predominantly be operating in an environment where there is a lack of global governance and where there is an intensifying ecosystemic crisis in the form of a global pandemic plus the economic and social disruption it causes. This will result in an overwhelming level of humanitarian needs and insufficient resources: these three preliminary scenarios will be occurring simultaneously in different countries/regions of the world.

In the Future of Financial Assistance report we take a look at the scale up of cash assistance is catalysing rapid change in the humanitarian sector – the emergence of new operational models, changing use of technology and partnerships with private sector actors, and stronger links between humanitarian assistance and other types of financial flows.

In ‘From Voices to Choices’ we explore the dynamics of decision-making in humanitarian aid, looking at the trends and inertia that could move us (or prevent us from moving) to a system where people affected by crises are making the decisions about the aid that they receive

A SCENARIO ANALYSIS ON THE DRIVERS OF EXCLUSION OF LGBTI INDIVIDUALS

This report analyses the extent of the hidden humanitarian crisis facing Lesbian, Gay, Bi-sexual and Transgender (LGBTI) individuals around the world. Using strategic foresight, we have identified the major drivers of LGBTI social exclusion and considered their evolution to 2030, aligning to the time-line of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to ground the conversation in the "leave no one behind" agenda. 

SAHEL BY 2030: SCENARIOS FOR THE FUTURE

The study is multidisciplinary, systemic and prospective. It has benefited from the analyses of anticipatory work, former and on-going projects and sector studies. It also relied on a collection of original field data. Finally, PRS 2030 has mobilized a network of experts and an experienced project team bringing together analysts and development practitioners.

A REFLECTIVE AND FORESIGHT ANALYSIS THROUGH TO 2030 

The report combines a retrospective analysis based on Action Against Hunger's long history of working in contexts of state fragility, with a foresight analysis on the impact state fragility will have on humanitarian work through to 2030.

A SCENARIO ANALYSIS ON THE DRIVERS OF HUNGER THROUGH 2030

This report provide foresight into the factors that drive hunger and their trajectories through 2030, using structured analysis techniques that help to unravel their complex web of interactions.

INGOs in 2030 

This report is our biggest one yet. It outlines 24 trends, 4 scenarios for the future, 9 types of crises, and 5 structural archetypes for INGOs wishing to survive past 2030. #FutureofAid has been used in the strategic planning processes of multiple large aid agencies, and is garnering significant press coverage.